Recently, a series of massive in the money $MCD call blocks popped up on Bullflow. $53M in total call flow for this specific contract. At first glance, it looked like high-conviction bullish activity with millions per trade, all calls, all blocks.
But this isn’t directional flow at all.
It’s dividend flow and knowing the difference is crucial if you rely on options flow for trade ideas.
Here’s the screenshot for reference:
These $53M in $MCD calls are not speculative trades, however. They are synthetic stock adjustments tied to McDonald’s dividend, not a bullish bet.
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Why They Happen on the Ex-Dividend Date
On the ex-dividend date, only shareholders receive the dividend. Option holders do not.
So institutional desks that hold deep ITM calls often:
- Exercise deep ITM calls early To convert them into shares in time to collect the dividend.
- Replace or roll synthetic exposure Because deep ITM calls behave almost exactly like stock, but with capital and tax-efficiency advantages.
- Execute Dividend arbitrage These trades exploit pricing differences created by the upcoming dividend.
This activity is predictable, mechanical, and not directional sentiment.
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What These Trades Mean
- Institutions were adjusting synthetic long positions ahead of the dividend.
- They were preparing to exercise or restructure deep ITM calls.
- It’s not tradable flow, not a bullish signal, and not momentum.
The size looks dramatic with many millions per order but that’s because these are stock-replacement strategies, not speculative options bets.
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✔️ How You Know It’s Dividend Flow
A simple checklist:
- Deep ITM calls
- All blocks
- Consistent $1M+ sizing
- All on the ex-dividend date
This pattern is textbook dividend flow.
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Why Bullflow Filters Out This Flow by Default
Bullflow hides ex-dividend flow unless you enable the filter, because:
- It’s not useful for trading
- It clutters the feed
- It misleads newer flow traders who think it’s bullish
But if you want to see this kind of mechanical flow, there is a filter for it.
To see trades like these, you must enable the “Ex-Dividend Flow” filter manually.
So the next time you aren’t seeing flow for your favorite ticker like $NVDA, select the “Ex-Dividend” filter because it just might be the ex-dividend date for that ticker.
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Final Thoughts
Not all big money flow is meaningful.
Understanding that prevents traders from misinterpreting routine institutional mechanics as bullish or bearish conviction.
Bullflow shows you everything and helps filter out the noise so you can focus on real opportunities, not synthetic dividend adjustments.
If you ever see flow you’re unsure about, feel free to share in Discord and we can address any questions!
